Efficient Bayesian inference with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo -- Michael Betancourt (Part 1)

MLSS Iceland 20143 HN recommenders · 2017–2024
48K views · lecture · evergreen · Uploaded 2014-11-17

Michael Betancourt's lecture at MLSS Iceland 2014 on efficient Bayesian inference with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo. It covers MCMC concepts and motivation and the problems of sampling in high-dimensional distributions.

HN people return to it as a clear primer on MCMC and HMC and on why high dimensions behave counterintuitively.

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3 comments from Hacker News

@srs701872017 · in “Gaussian Distributions Are Soap Bubbles”

This is an interesting take and kudos to the author for relaying a helpful way to think about high dimensional distributions. I really like and often come back to this talk by Michael Betancourt where the theme is quite similar: [VIDEO]

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@leecarraher2022 · in “Markov chain Monte Carlo without the bullshit (2015)”

Recently watched this on Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, and it was a fantastic primer on the basic concepts and motivations of mcmc, and later hmc [VIDEO]

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@euW3EeBe2024 · in “Gradient descent visualization”

Not an expert in this field, but I'm guessing this is related to unintuitive nature of geometry in high-dimensional spaces. One rough example I can think of is the fact that the number of ways to move away from the origin increases exponentially (or even faster?) as the dimensionality goes up. There is _way_ more volume away from the origin than near it, I've seen this explained as something like "most of the volume of a high-dimensional orange is in the peel". One result of this is the fact that samples of a standard gaussian end up forming a "shell" as opposed to a "ball" that you would expect (this phenomenon is called the concentration of measure in general). Also, very roughly, high-dimensional objects have lots of corners, and these corners are also very sharp. I would guess that gradient descent would get stuck in these corners and have a hard time getting out. Some links related to this: - Spikey Spheres: [LINK] - Thinking outside the 10-dimensional box - 3blue1brown: [LINK] - This is a fairly long talk about HMC, but it does talk about some problems that come up when sampling high-dimensional distributions: [VIDEO]

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