Why Japan's Conviction Rate is 99% (Actually Explained)
That Japanese Man Yuta3 HN recommenders · 2020–2020
82K views · explainer · evergreen · Uploaded 2020-01-28
Yuta explains what Japan's 99% conviction rate actually means, noting that prosecutors drop cases unless confidence is very high. He argues that the number is widely misunderstood and cites his sources.
Recommended as a sourced, nuanced corrective whenever the Japanese justice system's conviction rate is raised.
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4 comments from Hacker News
The high conviction rate seems to be because cases are dropped unless the prosecution's confidence is very high, rather than letting it go to trial. [VIDEO]
I'm not Japanese, but I've seen this Japanese person explaining the situation informally but thoroughly. [VIDEO] The premise is, yes 99% percent is a measured rate but also has no utility in a discussion if the other parts of the big picture is ignored.
This 99% number does not mean what people think it means. The Japanese prosecution system is a pipeline that strongly filters out unlikely-to-be-convicted cases from the very beginning. Long before you are convicted, you might not even be arrested, or your case gets dismissed earlier in the pipeline. Here is a video, with references, from a relatively trustworthy source: [VIDEO]
You might want to hear what Yuta has to say about this[1]. It's not as black and white, basically. 1: [VIDEO]