How Self-Driving Cars will Destroy Cities (and what to do about it)

Not Just Bikes17 HN recommenders · 2024–2026
2.4M views · commentary · evergreen · Uploaded 2024-11-10

Not Just Bikes argues that self-driving cars will worsen sprawl and car dependence and harm cities. The video compares car-centered and people-centered urban design and weighs what cities should do instead.

Frequently recommended in autonomous vehicle and Waymo threads as the main counterargument, a long but worthwhile video essay on how self-driving cars could affect cities.

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20 comments from Hacker News

@frmersdog2024 · in “Trump wins presidency for second time”

>Everything I am saying is straightforward and in good faith. You asked me why I thought he was unsuitable after I'd already explained why I thought he was unsuitable. >It seems you've confused postponing a strike with quashing a strike. He helped Biden block the rail strike. As I said. [LINK] [LINK] >Don't worry, all strikes in every industry will be quashed by Trump and Musk over the next 4 years. That's how strikes work under the rule of law and the faith that all parties will operate fairly within it, which we can agree is going away under Trump to some extent. >Also, do you seriously consider a single neglectful shipping company ramming into the bridge to be the fault of the transportation secretary? Yes. As with the train incident, it speaks to a culture of ineffectiveness under his direction. (Admittedly rando) guy at this link makes a good point: [LINK] >I can't think of a single mode of transportation that has gotten better under Buttigieg, can you? In his examples, he mentions air travel headaches, which combine with my Boeing criticism from earlier. I also hadn't considered personal vehicles: to add to his talk about EVs, there are also the many controversies involving self-driving cars and the companies his department have allowed to operate recklessly, per [VIDEO] . In all, Buttigieg's tenure has been marked by a lack of sufficient oversight of industry; his lax supervision has lead to a disturbing number of incidents across all modes of transit. He's supposed to

@panick21_2024 · in “Waymo One is now open to all in Los Angeles”

Well worth to watch 'Not Just Bikes' new video 'How Self-Driving Cars will Destroy Cities (and what to do about it)': [VIDEO]

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@rglullis2024 · in “Waymo One is now open to all in Los Angeles”

Please, don't. Let's not normalize yet another corporate attempt to privatize urban mobility: [VIDEO]

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@drewr2024 · in “Waymo One is now open to all in Los Angeles”

It's long, but well worth an hour of your time. He even states in the comments that he set out two years ago to make a positive video about AVs: What was most surprising to me was that when I began researching this video (two years ago!) it was going to be about some of the technical challenges that would need to be overcome in order to make self-driving cars a reality, but the conclusion was going to be that ultimately, AVs would be a good thing. By the time I was done researching this topic I was absolutely horrified of our future self-driving dystopia. [VIDEO] The future he illustrates seems mostly plausible, except that it depends on all of the technology functioning flawlessly. I have a hard time believing that streets full of high-speed AVs functioning in perfect synchrony is likely. However, that doesn't change my general agreement with the conclusions he draws in that video and the rest of his channel.

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@k99x552024 · in “Waymo will bring autonomous vehicles to Tokyo”

Don't fall on the trap of self-driving cars will make our lives better. They won't. Building cities for people first is what will improve our lives. Watch: How Self-Driving Cars will Destroy Cities (and what to do about it) [VIDEO]

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@CalRobert2024 · in “A comparison to Waymo’s auto liability insurance claims at 25M miles”

I ride my bike several times a day, and I have very mixed views about Waymo, etc. I care immensely about traffic safety (so much I moved to the Netherlands). If you took the world as it is now and left everything the same except that every car was a waymo and there were no human-driven cars left, I would be ecstatic. Humans are horrible drivers and some of them are downright murderous. If every car were a waymo I could even imagine letting my kids bike to school in the bay (where I used to live), which I wouldn't dream of now. But I think the second-order effects of self driving cars could be terrible. It removes any incentive not to have an incredibly long commute (exacerbating sprawl), and so far every time there has been a situation where the needs of walkers and cyclists were pitted against the needs of drivers, drivers won. I think the same will happen with self-driving cars, and people will be made to wear beacons just to walk across the street. NotJustBikes discusses this well here [VIDEO] But if we have proper regulation (pretty unlikely I would say) and use things like waymo to stop humans from driving (remember, drivers are the leading killers of children in the US!) that would be great.

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@shinryuu2025 · in “Man trapped inside driverless car as it spins in circles”

Reminds me of this enlightening video mapping out a possible future where self-driving cars have dominance. [VIDEO] It's very possible that it won't be the utopia it is portrayed to be.

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@okanat2025 · in “Tesla Cybertruck Drives Itself into a Pole, Owner Says 'Thank You Tesla'”

Allocating dedicated FSD roads is a terrible future. It will basically kill cities. I find myself agreeing with most of the arguments here: [VIDEO]

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@ahaferburg2025 · in “Toyota completes phase 1 construction of futuristic city”

> It will have separate roads for autonomous vehicles Not Just Bikes has a video on why that might not be the best idea. [VIDEO]

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@rstuart41332025 · in “Amazon’s delivery drones are grounded in College Station, Texas”

If that interests you, maybe the question "how did it get to be like this" will too. This video is pushing a point down your throat. If you can ignore that at the end it compares Canada's New London to Holland’s Utrecht: [VIDEO] Turns out the choice between "Middle America Suburbia" path and the other you describe really is a choice. Some have very deliberately chose one and some equally deliberately have chosen the other. Like you I've nearly always lived in the "American Suburbia" style. Like you I literally didn't realise (in fact I would have scoffed at the idea) there were other choices. That was despite the fact I was taught by migrant European teachers, who, when I look back, made it very plain what they thought of the "American Suburbia" style of living. Us calmly accepting the extra overheads of longer roads, consequent travel times, power transmission, transport fuel costs, freight and so on just blew them away. It blew me away too once I understood it. Then, again like you, I got live in one of these high density neighbourhoods for a very short while, and experienced the level of social cohesion and the "big village" feel of it. Now I think "wtf? I've been had".

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@nikvaes2025 · in “France's new high-speed train has Americans asking: Why can't we have that?”

For people who are interested in the question whether self-driving cars are the solution to commuting: an video essay of why self-driving cars are worse for a city than public transport: [VIDEO]

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@goda902025 · in “Traffic Fatalities Are a Choice”

No pedestrian crossings. No bike lanes. No escape from the noise of thousands of tires going at high speed. No escape from the air pollution of eroding tires and brakes. A vision of that future from a skeptic: [VIDEO]

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@xnx2025 · in “Traffic Fatalities Are a Choice”

Certainly some unknowns, but I'm optimistic. > No pedestrian crossings. Everywhere is a pedestrian crossing when you know that every vehicle sees you and will slow/stop if it anticipates you will enter its path. > No bike lanes. I'm an urban bike commuter and would be delighted to share the road with autonomous vehicles instead of human-driven ones. > No escape from the noise of thousands of tires going at high speed. I live 60 ft from a highway and would trade the noise of 1 speeding, honking, revving, modified-exhaust having human driven car for 100 well-maintained speed-limit obeying Waymo's. > No escape from the air pollution of eroding tires and brakes. Gentle starts and stops from a well-maintained (e.g. proper tire inflation) autonomous vehicle will create less of both of those than the average human-driven vehicle. > [VIDEO] I like a diversity of viewpoints, and glad there are people advocating for pedestrian and cyclist use of roads, but I find very little I agree with in Not Just Bikes pessimism.

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@zahlman2025 · in “Is Winter Coming? (2024)”

> For example, while researching new monitors today, I told Gemini... You told an agent , not just an LLM. > And this is already not hype, it's reality anywhere Waymo operates. Some beg to differ; see e.g. [VIDEO] .

@oblio2025 · in “AGENTS.md – Open format for guiding coding agents”

A pessimistic look at self driving cars: [VIDEO] If we end up where the video presents, humans don't deserve technology of any kind.

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@rozab2025 · in “Let us git rid of it, angry GitHub users say of forced Copilot features”

I recently watched Not Just Bikes' video on the disastrous future side effects of self-driving cars[0]. Of course it made me think about the massive PR push that made us think they were around the corner, but also about the manufactured consent for these technologies in the first place. Right now this kind of discussion is hitting the mainstream with the 'clanker'[1] backlash. I think it's really obvious to a lot of people that the AI push is not organic and is not based around consumer needs, and this manipulation is making people genuinely angry[2] (ok jreg is a performance artist, but just because something is performative doesn't mean it's not real). [0]: [VIDEO] [1]: [LINK] [2]: [LINK]

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@gpm2025 · in “Traffic lights with four colors and a new white light are coming”

I highly recommend watching the notjustbike video on autonomous vehicles. It outlines a disturbingly plausible path to a dystopia simply by following the lobbying incentives to logical conclusions. This feels like step 0. I'd strongly suggest that if this is coming to somewhere near you, you object, tell your city no, protest, etc. Link to the start of where he starts outlining a path to dystopia (though the first half of the video is informative too) [VIDEO]

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@abraxas2026 · in “Beginning autonomous operations with the 6th-generation Waymo Driver”

I honestly hope that they do not succeed in the end. Ubiquitous self driving cars will spell the end of what's left of walkable areas in North America and bring about (in time) similar destruction of the urban fabric to Europe and elsewhere. I'm not very articulate and English is my second language but this video below is really worth watching before we all swallow as an axiom the idea that autonomous cars are going to be a good thing: [VIDEO]

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@catsquirrel282026 · in “New York Just Killed Its Robotaxi Plan. The Real Problem Isn't the Technology”

> Imagine the conversation New York legislators could have had if every robotaxi ride generated a cryptographically signed, tamper-evident record of the vehicle's behavior — independently verifiable by any regulator, auditor, or safety agency. This is putting the cart before the horse. The problem with autonomous vehicles is that there's no standardized third party test suite to validate and certify ahead of time and periodically that the vehicles are capable of behaving correctly in all road conditions even with their sensors degraded as will happen over time. This kind of validation should be done by the state or a neutral third party like UL in the US before a single vehicle is allowed on public roads. Without it they're just unleashing multi-ton weapons on the streets with no guarantee they'll perform adequately. The problems with this were evident in SF when the blackout happened and the Waymos clogged up the roadways. If that happens during a real emergency and blocks the roadways it could result in thousands of deaths. Autonomous vehicles are a bad idea anyway for the reasons in this video[1]. 1. [VIDEO]

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@culi2026 · in “Waymo – Dallas Open to All”

This urbanist youtuber did a really in-depth video on what the future could look like (both good and ugly effects) if self-driving cars become enough of a success to affect the way we build infrastructure [VIDEO]

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